Service · 02

Special Situations Investing

Catalyst-driven ideas where a corporate event, restructure or dislocation creates asymmetric risk/reward.

Four categories

Where special situations live.

These are the areas we actually research. Outside them, we're happy to say we don't have an edge.

Corporate events

Mergers, acquisitions, spin-offs

Situations where the announced structure of a transaction creates a mispriced leg — post-spin orphans, merger arbs, or stubs after a strategic sale.

Restructures

Balance-sheet & operational

Companies emerging from recapitalisations, debt-for-equity swaps, or operational turnarounds where capital structure is the catalyst.

Transitional

Leadership & strategic shifts

New CEO, new strategy, divestiture of non-core units, or private-to-public pathway — each creates a window to enter before consensus forms.

Secondary & orphan

Forced sellers, orphaned securities

Fund liquidations, employee-shareholder secondaries, or securities that dropped out of index coverage — supply-driven mispricings, not fundamentals-driven.

Our framework

Every trade fits the same five-stage arc.

If a setup can't be mapped to this, we don't trade it. Simple is defensible.

Stage 1
Signal

A filing, an announcement, or a structural dislocation catches our screens.

Stage 2
Thesis

Written view: what must be true, what breaks it, and where the pricing sits.

Stage 3
Entry

Sized against downside. No position larger than what the thesis can support.

Stage 4
Catalyst

The pre-identified event plays out — or it doesn't, and the thesis is retired.

Stage 5
Exit

Realise, rotate, or redeploy. Every exit is documented in a post-mortem.

Asymmetry, not heroics

Risk-controlled by design.

Special situations only work if downside is bounded. We underwrite each idea with explicit upside, downside and expected-case outcomes before any capital is committed.

The goal is not to win every trade — it is to make sure the winners pay for the losers several times over.

Typical upside case+60-120%
Expected case+25-45%
Downside case-15-25%

Indicative ranges observed across our research universe; not a guarantee of any particular trade outcome.

Risk controls

How we protect capital.

  • Position sizing caps

    Single-name exposure limits enforced independently of thesis conviction.

  • Catalyst-gated timelines

    If the catalyst window closes without playing out, the position is reviewed and usually retired.

  • Explicit downside underwriting

    Every IC memo quantifies the worst realistic case before the upside is discussed.

  • Post-mortem discipline

    Every exit — good or bad — is written up and circulated internally before the next trade.

Ready to discuss a private-client mandate?

Short enquiry, no obligation. Our team reviews every submission and arranges a private conversation before anything moves forward.